Tuesday, June 14, 2011

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  • saimrathi
    07-11 09:06 PM
    I had to answer as NO as i live in northeastern PA... the poll should have had an option "I would love to but I live too far away.. but I'll be there in spirit" .. :)





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  • thakurrajiv
    07-30 10:34 AM
    Dont even think about it unless you are a quant and have resources that can compete with the Hedge funds. Commodities do not behave like stocks, you need to be able to model prices using multi variate models. Then there is jumps. You should be familiar with jump diffusion/step functions etc. To be able to model these you will need to use a factor model like the Pilipovic model. Even then it will only be an approximation.

    Commodities are purchased as futures. Futures are derivatives and you will need to hedge them. A perfect hedge for a future is 1:1 in the spot. Since there is no arb here you will have to use options. To model the price of an option you will have to be a master of Black-Scholes option pricing model or a similar method like monte carlo simulation. Even if you figure all this out you will have to delta hedge. Delta hedging commodity options is very expensive, you will bleed money. Look up Hodges-Nuberger model for delta hedging options on derivatives.

    I suggest a book by Daragana Pilipovic called "Energy Risk", buy it and read it. After that if you still feel you can take on hundreds of computers running parallel with teams of quants modelling prices and programs trading algarithimic models; then Good luck!!

    Trade stocks as modelling stocks is comparitively easy. Stocks have drift (mu). If you are saturated with stocks look into options and Fixed income. Leave all these complicated stuff to the pros. You have better chance of hitting a jackpot in a casino than making money in trading commodities.
    Wow, smisachu summarized the issue in 2 paragraphs !! Great post smisachu.
    As smisachu pointed out for futures, forwards or options trading you will be going against the pros. Hedging is also not a static process, it is dynamic which means you need scale(lots of money) to trade. Unless you have lot of money and big heart for loss, it does not make sense to play in those markets. If you really want to try, try playing with options using optionsExpress or some other cheap trading website.
    Now fundamental investing is different. Instead of directly playing with commodities you can play commodity stocks which are proxy for the commodity. The issue here is there are a few big players and bunch of small players. Small plays are too risky as most of them have resources outside US. You might be able to play big ones or medium sized ones. Have a look at companies like COP, EAC etc. You might be interested in looking at Canadian oil sands and trust plays.
    Let me warn you about the volatility. As covered by smisachu, the pros can manipulate the prices in futures. Futures seem to be affecting spot a lot. Oil prices or any commodity can be very volatilile. So if you can't take 10% swings in days/hours, don't even think about commodity stocks !!
    Personally I am long bull of oil and will stay like this in forseable future. I have interesting stories on my boom and bust experiences but that is a good beer talk :).





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  • desi3933
    08-22 12:42 PM
    desi, congratulations man!!! enjoy your citizenship and may god bless you and your family... really appreciate the fact that you are still remembering us and visiting the forums...kindly pray for the poor souls like us

    good luck again!!!


    Thanks so much, MyGC2006.

    Good Luck to you as well. Hope you get your GC asap.





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  • krupa
    04-04 08:58 AM
    I got RFE on 485. My attorney filed reply for the same and it reached the USCIS office on 5th March 2009.

    I observed LUD's for my I 485 on 5th and 6th March and after that from 13th to 17th March 2009 all five days continuously LUD's.

    I do not have any application like I-129, EAD or AP pending for approval and my PD is not current.

    Any clue guys?



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  • paskal
    07-17 06:08 PM
    Hi Pappu,
    Not sure I follow your argument here. Why should we not pursue the CIR and Recapture Bill action alert via AILA site. Also I am curious to know why IV has not put up a fax campaign for the same - given that this issue is clearly the focus on much of the IV agenda. Finally, I would think that while it is important to campaign directly to those in the know and power, as IV does and encourages members to do, there is something to be said for the strength of numbers. And one of the many ways IV can demonstrate that strength is not just to quote numbers in lobbying efforts but also to display direct interest of members and indeed non-members via faxes sent. IV Core and Donor Forum - some response from you would help us understand the path being pursued here.

    Regards,

    Raji


    As you are aware there is alot going on right now. The administration is talking about CIR.
    Lots of bills with small provisions get talked up or introduced. In fact that happens every year if you look back. We keep an eye on what's moving and where the effort is needed. We do not want to waste our resources and effort if something may end up simply being a placeholder or a position statement.
    In a nutshell, there will be fax campaign when we are advised (by lawmakers, lobbyists and friendly advocacy groups among others) and we determine that it is needed and will be effective.





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  • vparam
    08-01 02:17 PM
    What you guys think about On-line MBA ? Is it worth doing ? Any recommendations for on-line MBA or on-line M.S.?

    Your inputs are appreciated !

    there is no difference between online and regular MBA. some universities who have bith , do not even differentiate it in the diploma. for experiance people who add a MBA it has some value if they seek higher position. if you go on to to brick school you could get selected in campus interviews but the position is also lower



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  • singhsa3
    05-23 04:05 PM
    It not just matter of Idea but it is the matter of attitude. It is one thing to generate thought provoking ideas and other thing to say things like
    "So to avoid sounding stupid and foolish and desperate when you call".

    By the way "pointless" is one of the those people who have been leaving comments like "chuteya" when giving red dots.
    How do I know that ? a regular member may not be able to view this information but certainly moderators can.

    So the intentions and very credibility of this person ("pointless") is in question!



    I like idea of doing both ( calls + signatures)





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  • uma001
    03-29 10:23 AM
    h1b_alex,

    You mentioned you attended 15 interviews, but nothing worked.
    How many interviews did you attend so far?
    How many years of job experience do you have?
    What skillset do you have work experience?
    Send me PM. Let me see if I can help you.
    There are companies still doing H1 transfer without pays tubs for talented guys.

    Market is picking up, I hate to see you go back to India.



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  • chanduv23
    03-13 10:20 AM
    I couldnt belive it. But let us wait... I told some one that I will send sugar to them... Let me contact them through PM...

    Good luck - Guess u r through





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  • senthil1
    02-14 11:21 AM
    It is true that ordinary americans does not care about immgration because those who are working in high tech and engg are very less may be less than 20%. So the impacted people are americans those who are aspiring to become High tech employees and those who were laid of from high tech. They want just some kind of protection and preference for their jobs from H1bs. This argument cannot be ruled out completely. Right now some protectons like LCA and Labor certification process,We everyone know those process are just formality and documentation and not implemented really. Why I am telling this is lot of congressmen buying this argument and opposing H1b and gc increase. If these kind of issues are resolved h1b and green card can be increased without much opposition. But IV cannot do anything about the H1b issues or protecting american jobs as it is out of scope. But Corporations and Congress can do that. We knew for jobs in India Indians are given preference so nothing wrong in thinking of American that they should be given preference.




    Spot on. i think the anti-immigrants grossly magnify the hue and cry over H1-B abuses. Most americans dont know what H1-B is and nor do they care. The only immigrants they have heard about are the illegal kind. Ordinary americans are mostly indifferent to legal immigration. Politicians care first for their votebanks (present and future) and second for their sources of funding aka corporate lobbies. They are the ones who have the ability to make a difference.



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  • MetteBB
    06-16 09:59 AM
    eh? :huh:





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  • smisachu
    07-30 01:01 PM
    I am not endorsing any fund or product. You have to do your own research and you have to figure out your own risk appetite- Disclaimer

    Superfund is a hedge fund which has two funds of managed futures. Its enrty was $5K last time I checked. But again in a hedge fund you typically pay 2 & 20. That means 2% maintenance and 20% off the profits and there is huge down side risk where your entire investment can be wiped out. Tread carefully!!

    Again a great post. Just want to comment that be careful with ETF's too. Most of the ETF's are not physical commodity holders. They play in futures and OTC swap markets.
    I have looked hard to find ETF's or MF's fwhich are pure commodity holders e.g gold, silver etc.I still have not found good ones. The closest I could get was some portfolio of mix of real assets and futures. Most of the ETFs are again leveraged and kind of trap for average investors.
    There are a few hedge funds or big funds which might offer pure plays but those tend to have huge entry investment requirement basically making them inaccessible to individual small investors.



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  • chanduv23
    12-17 10:18 AM
    Hi Chanduv,

    Possible to post a format on IV...with information pertaining to visa recapture etc.

    Regards
    Vsach

    Sure, anyone can come up with a template. It is members who drive this thread. IV is all of us, you and me and all





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  • hiralal
    01-09 12:06 AM
    I believe it will be the same old story. They will wait till last quarter and then will waste thousands of visa numbers because of their darn slow processing hands and we people will again start talking optimism from Oct 2010.
    What happened to the IV's talk with USCICS on spillover policies? Does anybody know?
    my thoughts exactly - they are just relaxing till summer season !! and maybe they will make the dates current in last quarter too - this means more mess but more $$$$ for them.
    time to make plan B = plan A. and plan C = plan B.
    my plan C -- make more money, save more and buy less with eventual return to home country if needed !!



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  • uma001
    05-25 02:35 PM
    This si for Akp

    What's up buddy. This si your first post. What have u been doing all this time?
    We are paying taxes along with SSN taxes. We have rt to ask or to bash this system.





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  • nixstor
    05-23 02:15 PM
    as everyone will be only talking to the secretaries.. and message will not goto to law makers..

    This is NOT correct. Most of the messages that these people receive will trickle down to the Legislative directors, Chief of Staff and the law maker him/her self. It's easy to imagine that our message does not get any where depending on different experiences we had in the past, but most of the times when there is a real good push from grass roots org, together with the lobbying activity, the message goes all the way. Whether we get support or not is a different story.

    Oh B T W, 5882 and 5921 not only help EB but also FB. 5882 recaptures wasted FB numbers and 5921 increases the FB country limit to 10%.



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  • Ommmm
    07-14 05:37 PM
    Is the rally over? My husband is waiting at the 635 Ist north street As per the plan.





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  • kshitijnt
    06-11 02:50 PM
    This can financially drain you out. My insurance agent told me that they cant get the money straight out of your bank account , because how will they find out your bank account number and the bank? How do they know how many bank accounts you have? What if you send money to India before the judgement is entered against you? If you have a house, they can go after your house or car. What about their own insurance policy? Maybe their insurance can also pay as uninsured motorist pay? Retirement income is usually protected in some states and hence I dont think your 401K is at risk. Once your insurance company pays out the maximum, you can basically say hands up, I have given up.





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  • walking_dude
    11-14 10:50 AM
    Customize it! Don't use it word to word. This will make it lose it's personal touch, which is very important for WWJ to consider our requests. Otherwise it will be dismissed as orchestrated propoganda


    --------------------------------------------------

    Dear News Editor(s),

    As a WWJ 950 listener and an immigrant living in Michigan, I am concerned about the negative impacts on immigrants by the airing of your show "WWJ Business Breakfast" with Mr. LOU DOBBS, which is scheduled to air on Nov 29 between 8 a.m. - 9:30 a.m.

    Mr. Dobbs is known for his strong views against immigrants, including considering immigrants to be responsible for the spread of incurable diseases such as Drug-resistant Tuberculosis, Leprosy etc. From past experience on CNN, he is also highly likely to blame the current crisis in Auto Industry to the so-called "importation of cheap labor from third world countries".

    In the interests of fairness, you should also air the counter-views while providing coverage to such strong one-sided views. This would provide a balanced coverage to your viewers.

    In the absence of such unbiased coverage, Mr. Dobbs verbal attacks may provoke physical attacks against foreigners as well as any foreign-looking persons by misguided elements provoked by your show. If such incidents do happen, please understand that your network will be indirectly responsible and liable to the foreigners affected.

    As a concerned party I would like to know -

    1) What action your network is taking to provide coverage of the other point of view, in the interests of fairness?

    2) What action is your network taking to ensure that Lou Dobbs verbal attacks on foreigners do not translate into physical attacks on foreigners living in Michigan?

    Appreciate hearing from you soon.

    Yours sincerely,
    Vivek
    Phone: 1-xxx-xxx-xxxx
    E-mail : xxxxx@somemail.com

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------





    jonty_11
    07-11 06:34 PM
    You really think they're in any kind of rule-following mood lately?
    Exactly....who the heck are they answerable to..no one.....so expect anything...

    Has AILA filed the damn lawsuit yet...what the heck are they doing...playing Tom and Jerry....





    richshi
    04-26 07:42 PM
    Just registered as volunteer. Will send a check of $100 first thing tomorrow.

    I will go to Wenxuecity ( a chinese portal) to introduce this great organization and ask people to donate money.



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